The Global Economic Outlook – Resilience, Risks, and Rebalancing

Research PaperJanuary 202545 pagesPeer Reviewed

Authors

CEDx Research Team

Abstract

An in-depth analysis of the global economic environment, examining key macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, labor market trends, and the primary forces shaping policy and performance in 2025 and beyond. The world economy exhibits moderate growth, persistent inflationary undercurrents, and significant policy-induced uncertainties.

Key Findings

  • Global GDP growth projected at 3.2% in 2025, with divergent regional performances
  • Inflation falling faster than anticipated, from 6.8% in 2023 to 4.4% in 2025
  • Advanced economies accelerating from low bases while emerging markets face slowdown
  • Core inflation persistence in services presents monetary policy challenges